Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 86.96%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 3.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 4-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
Result | ||
Glentoran | Draw | Portadown |
86.96% ( 0.34) | 9.21% ( -0.29) | 3.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 40.76% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.11% ( 1.37) | 28.89% ( -1.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.16% ( 1.66) | 49.84% ( -1.66) |
Glentoran Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.6% ( 0.29) | 4.4% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.86% ( 0.9) | 18.14% ( -0.9) |
Portadown Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.63% ( 0.86) | 57.37% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.75% ( 0.47) | 89.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Glentoran | Draw | Portadown |
3-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.47) 4-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.18) 6-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 7-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.66% Total : 86.96% | 1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 9.21% | 0-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.82% |
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