Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.