Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
