SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Coleraine |
61.8% ( -0.15) | 21.25% ( 0.08) | 16.95% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.21) | 44.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( -0.2) | 67.22% ( 0.2) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.11) | 13.98% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.52% ( -0.23) | 41.48% ( 0.22) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( -0.03) | 39.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.5% ( -0.03) | 76.49% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.79% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.25% | 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 16.95% |
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