SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Glentoran |
39.99% ( -0.22) | 27.71% ( 0.25) | 32.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.93) | 57.58% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.64% ( -0.74) | 78.36% ( 0.75) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.56) | 28.16% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.16% ( -0.72) | 63.84% ( 0.72) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.5) | 32.97% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( -0.56) | 69.56% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.3% |
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