SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
63.51% ( 0.18) | 20.02% ( -0.05) | 16.47% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( -0.02) | 40.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.44% ( -0.02) | 62.56% ( 0.02) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.98% ( 0.04) | 12.03% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.5% ( 0.09) | 37.5% ( -0.09) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.17) | 37.58% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.64% ( -0.17) | 74.36% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.47% |
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