SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glentoran in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glentoran |
21.25% ( -0.02) | 21.65% ( -0) | 57.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.19% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.92% ( -0.02) | 40.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.55% ( -0.02) | 62.44% ( 0.02) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% ( -0.03) | 32.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% ( -0.03) | 68.96% ( 0.03) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( -0) | 13.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.74% ( 0) | 41.25% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Glentoran |
| 2-1 @ 5.63% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.06% 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.22% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 57.1% |
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