SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 79.59%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.03%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.31%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 79.59% | 13.31% ( 0.01) | 7.1% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.11) | 34.24% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.86% ( -0.13) | 56.14% ( 0.13) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.24% ( -0.02) | 6.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.04% ( -0.06) | 24.96% ( 0.06) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.91% ( -0.11) | 50.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.28% ( -0.07) | 84.72% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 79.58% | 1-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 13.31% | 0-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 7.1% |
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