SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
19.38% ( 0.01) | 22.84% ( 0.03) | 57.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.14% ( -0.09) | 47.86% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.96% ( -0.09) | 70.04% ( 0.08) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.04) | 38.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -0.04) | 75.52% ( 0.03) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.71% ( -0.05) | 16.29% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.15% ( -0.09) | 45.85% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 19.38% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.83% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.4% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.85% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 57.77% |
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