SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
37.27% ( 0.01) | 25.18% ( -0.01) | 37.55% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( 0.05) | 46.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.23% ( 0.05) | 68.77% ( -0.04) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% ( 0.03) | 24.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.04% ( 0.04) | 58.96% ( -0.04) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( 0.02) | 24.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( 0.03) | 58.75% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.55% |
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