SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Portadown |
49.21% ( -0.17) | 23.79% ( 0.05) | 26.99% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56% ( -0.12) | 43.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.62% ( -0.11) | 66.37% ( 0.11) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.01% ( -0.11) | 17.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.15% ( -0.19) | 48.84% ( 0.19) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.04) | 29.79% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.13% ( 0.04) | 65.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.61% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.79% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 26.99% |
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