SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
40.93% ( -0.01) | 26.05% ( 0) | 33.02% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.13% ( -0.01) | 50.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.25% ( -0.01) | 72.75% ( 0.01) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.01) | 24.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( -0.02) | 59.03% ( 0.02) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% | 65.03% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.02% |
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