SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 81.79%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 5.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.23%) and 1-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
81.79% ( 0.11) | 12.46% ( -0.06) | 5.75% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 41.56% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.9% ( 0.09) | 36.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.79% ( 0.09) | 58.21% ( -0.1) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.3% ( 0.04) | 6.7% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.18% ( 0.11) | 24.82% ( -0.11) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.55% ( -0.1) | 55.46% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.85% ( -0.06) | 88.15% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 13.57% 3-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 81.78% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 12.46% | 0-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 5.75% |
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