Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 2.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 4-0 (11.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.38%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
Result | ||
Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
90.49% ( 0.38) | 7.16% ( -0.25) | 2.35% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 33.94% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.33% ( 0.44) | 27.67% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.67% ( 0.55) | 48.33% ( -0.55) |
Larne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.38% ( 0.13) | 3.62% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.36% ( 0.42) | 15.64% ( -0.42) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
35.21% ( -0.52) | 64.79% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
7.09% ( -0.23) | 92.91% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
3-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.18) 5-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 7-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.65% Total : 90.47% | 1-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 7.16% | 0-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.33% Total : 2.35% |
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