SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 84.49%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 4.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.16%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
84.49% ( 0.93) | 10.85% ( -0.7) | 4.66% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 40.37% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.77% ( 2.55) | 33.22% ( -2.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.02% ( 2.86) | 54.98% ( -2.87) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.39% ( 0.67) | 5.61% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.24% ( 1.9) | 21.76% ( -1.9) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.77% ( 1) | 57.23% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.83% ( 0.55) | 89.17% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.69) 3-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.88)4-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.31)5-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.29)6-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.19)7-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.49% Total : 84.48% | 1-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 10.85% | 0-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.43% Total : 4.66% |
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