Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
37.52% ( -0.09) | 26.14% ( -0.02) | 36.34% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.74% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.21% ( 0.1) | 50.79% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% ( 0.08) | 72.68% ( -0.08) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.01) | 26.35% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% ( -0.01) | 61.49% ( 0.01) |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.97% ( 0.11) | 27.03% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.61% ( 0.15) | 62.39% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
1-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.34% |
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