Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 61.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 15.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Linfield	Draw	Crusaders
61.9%	22.73%	15.37%

Both teams to score 43.96%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.44%

53.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.93%

75.07%

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13%

16.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.11%

46.89%

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.88%

47.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.42%

82.58%

Score Analysis

Linfield 61.89%

Crusaders 15.37%

Draw 22.73%

Linfield	Draw	Crusaders
1-0 @ 14.14% 2-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 5.62% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.95% 2-2 @ 3.56% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.73%	0-1 @ 5.98% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.37%