SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 86.01%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 4.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.98%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
86.01% ( -0.03) | 9.9% ( 0.01) | 4.09% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.79% ( 0.01) | 31.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.01) | 52.63% ( -0.01) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.04% ( -0) | 4.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.14% ( -0.01) | 19.86% ( 0.01) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.98% ( 0.06) | 58.01% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.4% ( 0.04) | 89.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 3-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.98% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 3.19% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.95% Total : 86% | 1-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.9% | 0-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 4.09% |
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