Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.