Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.