SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
70.05% ( 0.09) | 18.33% ( -0.02) | 11.63% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.12) | 43.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.12) | 65.8% ( 0.12) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.81% ( -0.01) | 11.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.29% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( 0.03) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.35% ( -0.2) | 46.66% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.78% ( -0.15) | 82.23% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.64% Total : 70.04% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.33% | 0-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.63% |
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