SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Coleraine |
29.65% ( -0.59) | 24.41% ( -0.16) | 45.94% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.39) | 45.04% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.38) | 67.39% ( -0.38) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% ( -0.2) | 28.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.26) | 64.19% ( 0.26) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.27% ( 0.48) | 19.73% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.25% ( 0.77) | 51.75% ( -0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.65% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.94% |
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