Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newry City AFC win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newry City AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
48.38% ( -1.12) | 24.11% ( 0.14) | 27.51% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 56.96% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.12) | 45% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.12) | 67.36% ( -0.11) |
Newry City AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% ( -0.39) | 18.71% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.93% ( -0.67) | 50.07% ( 0.67) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( 0.81) | 29.94% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( 0.97) | 66.04% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.51% |
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