SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Newry City AFC |
48.71% ( 0.09) | 22.89% ( -0.4) | 28.4% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( 1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.25% ( 2.12) | 38.75% ( -2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.95% ( 2.2) | 61.05% ( -2.2) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( 0.83) | 16.2% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( 1.49) | 45.68% ( -1.49) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 1.3) | 26.09% ( -1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% ( 1.71) | 61.15% ( -1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.56)2-0 @ 7% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 28.4% |
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