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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.71%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
36.85% ( -0.69) | 24.41% ( 0.05) | 38.74% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 59.89% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( -0.25) | 42.9% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.25) | 65.3% ( 0.25) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.47) | 23.09% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.7) | 56.94% ( 0.7) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.21) | 22.12% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.32) | 55.49% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.74% |
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