SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glenavon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
27.27% ( -0.73) | 24.32% ( -0.12) | 48.4% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.05% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.03) | 46.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.03) | 68.42% ( -0.03) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.31% ( -0.53) | 30.69% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.63) | 66.95% ( 0.63) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.37) | 19.13% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.22% ( 0.6) | 50.77% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.27% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.23% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.4% |
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