SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Larne |
31.32% ( 0.18) | 25.64% ( 0.18) | 43.04% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( -0.68) | 49.65% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( -0.61) | 71.66% ( 0.62) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.22) | 29.61% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.28) | 65.65% ( 0.28) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( -0.45) | 22.96% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( -0.68) | 56.74% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.32% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.04% |
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