SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 3.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.85%) and 4-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.25%), while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Portadown |
87.75% ( -2.15) | 9.25% ( 1.49) | 3.01% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 31.86% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.92% ( -3.51) | 35.08% ( 3.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.92% ( -4.02) | 57.08% ( 4.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.68% ( -1) | 5.32% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.06% ( -3.03) | 20.94% ( 3.03) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 33.65% ( 1.53) | 66.35% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.43% ( 0.61) | 93.57% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Portadown |
| 2-0 @ 15.19% ( 0.71) 3-0 @ 14.85% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 10.89% ( -1.01)1-0 @ 10.36% ( 1.14)5-0 @ 6.39% ( -1.09)2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.14)6-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.79)5-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.28)7-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.45)6-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.19% Total : 9.25% | 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.31) Other @ 1.56% Total : 3.01% |
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