SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Ballymena United | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| 11 | Portadown | 5 | -11 | 0 |
| 12 | Dungannon Swifts | 6 | -15 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Linfield | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| 6 | Larne | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Carrick Rangers | 5 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 7.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.06%) and 0-3 (11.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Larne |
7.54% ( 0.33) | 15.36% ( 0.42) | 77.1% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 40.98% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.29% ( -0.67) | 42.71% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.89% ( -0.67) | 65.11% ( 0.67) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.15% ( 0.43) | 54.84% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.21% ( 0.26) | 87.78% ( -0.26) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.76% ( -0.34) | 9.24% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.76% ( -0.82) | 31.24% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.4% Total : 7.54% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.45% Total : 15.36% | 0-2 @ 14.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 11.41% ( -0.2)1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 6.8% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 3.24% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.09% |
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