Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 69.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sweden Women had a probability of 13.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Sweden Women win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Women would win this match.
