Women's World Cup | Quarter-Finals

Aug 11, 2023 at 2am UK

Westpac Stadium

Spain Women
2 - 1
N'lands Women

Caldentey (81' pen.), Paralluelo (111')
Hernandez (35')

FT
(aet)

van der Gragt (90+1')
Egurrola (61')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's World Cup clash between Spain Women and Netherlands Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Switzerland W 1-5 Spain Women
Saturday, August 5 at 6am in Women's World Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Japan Women	3	11	9
2	Spain Women	3	4	6
3	Zambia Women	3	-8	3
4	Costa Rica Women	3	-7	0

Netherlands Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: N'lands Women 2-0 S. Africa Women
Sunday, August 6 at 3am in Women's World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	8	7
2	USA Women	3	3	5
3	Portugal Women	3	1	4
4	Vietnam Women	3	-12	0

We say: Spain Women 2-1 Netherlands Women

The first quarter-final tie looks set to be a close-fought affair, and both teams will be looking for their key players to make a difference. Bonmati has been one of the standout individuals in the Spain squad, and if she can produce another solid performance on Friday, we think that she could help her country get over the line against the Netherlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Netherlands Women had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Netherlands Women win it was 1-2 (4.26%).

Result
Spain Women	Draw	Netherlands Women
67.04%	17.21%	15.75%

Both teams to score 64.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.51%

48.49%

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.26%

7.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.45%

27.55%

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45%

30.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.23%

66.77%

Score Analysis

Spain Women 67.04%

Netherlands Women 15.75%

Draw 17.21%

Spain Women	Draw	Netherlands Women
2-1 @ 9.18% 3-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.74% 3-0 @ 6.6% 1-0 @ 6.05% 4-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 4.64% 4-0 @ 4.22% 4-2 @ 2.97% 5-1 @ 2.56% 5-0 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.52% 4-3 @ 1.17% 6-1 @ 1.09% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.37% Total : 67.04%	1-1 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 2.37% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.39% Total : 17.21%	1-2 @ 4.26% 0-1 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 1.68% 0-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.2% Total : 15.75%