SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco Under-23s win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Spain Under-23s win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morocco Under-23s | Draw | Spain Under-23s |
36.97% ( -0.3) | 26.82% ( -0.05) | 36.21% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( 0.21) | 53.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.87% ( 0.18) | 75.13% ( -0.17) |
| Morocco Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( -0.08) | 28.01% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( -0.1) | 63.66% ( 0.1) |
| Spain Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 0.31) | 28.46% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 0.39) | 64.22% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Morocco Under-23s | Draw | Spain Under-23s |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.21% |
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