SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
31.21% ( -0.13) | 25.98% ( 0.06) | 42.8% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.07% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( -0.29) | 51.13% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.25) | 72.97% ( 0.25) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( -0.23) | 30.43% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( -0.28) | 66.63% ( 0.28) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -0.09) | 23.72% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( -0.13) | 57.85% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.79% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
