Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
Result | ||
Radomiak Radom | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
27.56% ( 0.07) | 25.79% ( 0.01) | 46.64% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.9% ( 0.01) | 52.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% ( 0.01) | 73.82% ( -0.01) |
Radomiak Radom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.38% ( 0.06) | 33.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( 0.07) | 70.26% ( -0.07) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.68% ( -0.03) | 22.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.21% ( -0.05) | 55.79% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Radomiak Radom | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.56% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.64% |
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