SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Lech Poznan |
52.21% ( -0.39) | 22.57% ( 0.15) | 25.22% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.14% ( -0.49) | 39.86% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.78% ( -0.51) | 62.22% ( 0.51) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( -0.3) | 15.37% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.84% ( -0.58) | 44.16% ( 0.57) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( -0.08) | 28.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( -0.1) | 64.85% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 25.22% |
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