SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
38.12% ( -0.06) | 26.5% ( -0) | 35.37% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.65% ( 0.01) | 52.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.96% ( 0) | 74.04% ( -0) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -0.03) | 26.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( -0.04) | 62% ( 0.04) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 0.04) | 28.34% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.37% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
