SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
36.5% ( 0) | 24.43% | 39.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% ( 0.01) | 42.98% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% ( 0.01) | 65.38% ( -0) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( 0) | 23.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( 0) | 57.26% ( -0) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( 0) | 22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( 0) | 55.31% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.44% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.56% 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.07% |
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