SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Molde |
29.92% ( -0.03) | 25% ( -0.01) | 45.08% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( 0.02) | 47.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( 0.02) | 69.7% ( -0.02) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.01) | 29.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( -0.02) | 65.49% ( 0.01) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( 0.02) | 21.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.06% ( 0.03) | 53.93% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Molde |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.92% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.08% |
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