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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
49.46% ( 2.49) | 20.62% ( -0.16) | 29.92% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 71.74% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.52) | 26.45% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.67) | 46.79% ( 0.67) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.51% ( 0.53) | 11.49% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.65% ( 1.13) | 36.35% ( -1.13) |
| Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( -1.43) | 18.95% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( -2.42) | 50.47% ( 2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Middlesbrough Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.34)4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.22)4-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.1% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.25)0-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.21)3-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.92% |
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