SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 38.59% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.17%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
38.59% ( -0.47) | 20.19% ( 0.07) | 41.21% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 76.8% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.74% ( -0.41) | 21.25% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.57) | 39.86% ( 0.57) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.2% ( -0.34) | 12.79% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.9% ( -0.7) | 39.09% ( 0.7) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( -0.05) | 11.93% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.7% ( -0.1) | 37.3% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Sunderland Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 5% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.59% | 2-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.05)4-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 5.17% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.89% Total : 41.21% |
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