Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-23s would win this match.