SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.69%).
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
56.81% ( 0.98) | 21.62% ( -0.13) | 21.56% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( -0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.45) | 39.53% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( -0.48) | 61.88% ( 0.47) |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 0.15) | 13.77% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.93% ( 0.3) | 41.07% ( -0.31) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( -1.01) | 31.84% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( -1.17) | 68.28% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.81% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.62% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 21.56% |
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