Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
59.67%	18.66%	21.67%

Both teams to score 70.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.17%

24.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.3%

44.7%

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.55%

8.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.66%

29.34%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.79%

23.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.89%

57.11%

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 59.67%

Aston Villa Under-21s 21.67%

Draw 18.66%

Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 5.26% 3-0 @ 4.93% 1-0 @ 4.85% 4-1 @ 4.45% 4-2 @ 3.25% 4-0 @ 3.05% 5-1 @ 2.2% 5-2 @ 1.61% 4-3 @ 1.58% 5-0 @ 1.51% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 4.16% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 6.39% 3-3 @ 2.56% 0-0 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.66%	1-2 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-1 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 2.52% 0-2 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-3 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.94% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.9% Total : 21.67%