Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 59.67%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.
