SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.11%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
49.66% ( 0.81) | 21.31% ( -0.23) | 29.03% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 68.36% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.77) | 30.54% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.16% ( 0.92) | 51.84% ( -0.92) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.11% ( 0.53) | 12.88% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.71% ( 1.08) | 39.29% ( -1.08) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( 0.06) | 21.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( 0.08) | 54.59% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
