Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-23s win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 38.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.75%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-23s would win this match.
