Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 58.26%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-23s would win this match.
