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Premier League 2 - Div 1 | Gameweek 14
Feb 7, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U23s
0 - 5
Man City U23s


Grewal-Pollard (24'), Clarke (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mcatee (24', 65'), Gyabi (47'), Hamilton (73'), Bobb (80')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Manchester City Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-23sDrawManchester City Under-23s
25.17%22.39%52.44%
Both teams to score 60.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93%39.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.61%61.39%
Derby County Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42%28.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63%64.37%
Manchester City Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-23s 25.17%
    Manchester City Under-23s 52.44%
    Draw 22.39%
Derby County Under-23sDrawManchester City Under-23s
2-1 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 3.37%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.39%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-1 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 6.11%
0-3 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.9%
0-4 @ 2.31%
2-4 @ 1.81%
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4%
Total : 52.44%

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