SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Everton Under-23s | 26 | -21 | 29 |
| 12 | Leeds United Under-23s | 26 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Chelsea Under-23s | 25 | -9 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City Under-23s | 26 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham United Under-23s | 25 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal Under-23s | 26 | 8 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 57.78%. A win for Leeds United Under-23s had a probability of 21.42% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 0-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 21.42% | 20.81% | 57.78% |
| Both teams to score 61.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% | 35.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% | 57.93% |
| Leeds United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% | 29.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.03% | 65.97% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.71% | 12.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.95% | 38.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.98% Total : 21.42% | 1-1 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.81% | 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-2 @ 8.07% 0-1 @ 7.7% 1-3 @ 6.81% 0-3 @ 5.64% 2-3 @ 4.12% 1-4 @ 3.57% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 2.16% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.37% Total : 57.78% |
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