SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | West Ham United Under-23s | 25 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal Under-23s | 26 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool Under-23s | 26 | 10 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City Under-23s | 26 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham United Under-23s | 25 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal Under-23s | 26 | 8 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 58.23%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 21.22% | 20.54% | 58.23% |
| Both teams to score 62.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.13% | 34.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.16% | 56.84% |
| Arsenal Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% | 11.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.88% | 37.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-23s | Draw | Manchester City Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% 1-0 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.06% Total : 21.22% | 1-1 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-3 @ 5.65% 2-3 @ 4.21% 1-4 @ 3.68% 0-4 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 2.25% 1-5 @ 1.57% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-5 @ 0.96% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 58.23% |
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