SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
24.27% ( 0.23) | 20.37% ( 0.15) | 55.36% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 67.19% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.83% ( -0.47) | 30.16% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( -0.57) | 51.39% ( 0.57) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.09) | 24.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -0.13) | 58.81% ( 0.14) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.25) | 11.13% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.43% ( -0.56) | 35.57% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.27% | 1-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.36% |
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